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The Phoenix Suns have the best record in the NBA and top record in the Western Conference, so Monty Williams will coach Team LeBron. Durant is injured and he will not participate in the All-Star Game.Ĭoaches are selected based on the top team from each conference. Instead, the top player in each conference became a captain and then they drafted players. The NBA ditched their old format with the Eastern versus the Western Conference. For a second year in a row, LeBron James and Kevin Durant are captains and drafted their own team for the 2022 All-Star Game. Out of 30 players, these two spots are the only spots remains without an All-Star player.The 2022 NBA All-Star Game will take place in Cleveland on Sunday, and LeBron James and Kevin Durant are captains once again after they selected rosters and drafted their team from a pool of starters and reserves. Non Lottery Picks(All) → 57/1322 = 4.3% probability of All-StarĪdditionally, there were two spots from the first round, which have not been identified with an All-Star player yet: 22nd and 23rd picks.Non Lottery Picks(1st Rd) → 35/449 = 7.8% probability of All-Star.It is a very rough estimation but I think there is fair to draw general conclusions to understand some of the basic trends of draft. For the sake of simplicity, I tagged first 14 picks for lottery picks and the left the rest of them(from the 1st round) as non-lottery picks.

When we exclude the lottery, the probability of being an All-Star would be significantly lower than lottery picks. Other than top-3 picks, there were two other spots which had double-digit number of players selected as All-Stars in the last 30 years: 4th and 9th picks with 10 All-Stars each(probability of 33.3%). In last 30 years, both 8th pick and 12th pick had only 1 player out of 30 players from their respective spots and the most recent was selected in 1993:

The obvious thing is the first pick would get the best chance to become an All-Star at some point of their career since it has a probability of 63.3% if we take last 30 years into account. How Likely for Each Draft Pick to Become an All-Star? (1st Round)

The blue line is the smoothed probability given from a logistic regression. The below graph represents the probability of a given draft pick to become an All-Star, which is populated from the last 30 years of draft results and All-Star selections. It is worth to say assessing players with their All-Star selection is not the most ideal way to do it but this is the least I can do in order to understand the basics of draft pick evaluation and give a sense to you, as well. I also added a flag to each drafted player if they were selected for All-Star Game. In this post, I have tried to investigate the draft picks and their relation to All Star selections, in which we can assess which pick will have more chance to be successful in terms of making a prestigious tag along their names.įor this project, I collected all data for NBA Drafts from 1989, the time the NBA Draft had started to consist of 2 rounds, until 2019. Moreover, the NBA Draft Lottery results are just determined and barring any issues the NBA Draft will take place on October 16, when the new season would start in normal conditions. What Are the Odds to Become an All-Star for Each Draft Pick?Īs of August 2020, the NBA season has not concluded due to the COVID-19 pandemic.